Man U. played with fire and burned

26 w / 8 l / 1 c -> +19.85 m.u. (hit%: 74.28)

Melbourne Victory v Kawasaki Frontale [Half Time], >0.5 @ 1.35 (gb), stack 4 m.u. EDIT: 0-0 at HT. There should be two different sports Football and ASIAN FOOTBALL, they do not have anything in common except the ball!!!

Arsenal v FC Barcelona, Both teams to score @ 1.69 (gb), stack 3 m.u.

Inter Milan v CSKA Moscow, >1.5 @ 1.35 (gb), stack 6 m.u.

CFR won 1-0 at Brasov

25 w / 6 l / 1 c -> +22.75 m.u. (hit%: 78.12)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Adelaide United, >2.5 @ 1.80 (gb), stack 3 m.u.EDIT: only 1-0, that's why :(

I saw last match between these two at bet365 and I cannot find a reasonable explanation for such a high odd on over 2.5. It ended 3-2 for Adelaide after an very open game with big mistakes from both defences.

Mes Kerman v Al Sadd, >2.5 @ 1.70 (gb), stack 3 m.u.EDIT: already 2-1

And another match I watched at bet365, Al Sadd has a team of yougsters but they begin to confirm under a pretty good coach (Cosmin Olaroiu). Being leaded 0-1 at HT they scored 3 goals in 5' and 1 goal after, so it ended 4-1. There are people to claim it was a fixed game but I do not think so. It's just the lack of concentration in defence.

Bayern Munich v Manchester Utd [Draw No Bet], Manchester Utd @ 1.70 (gb), stack 2 m.u.

A better week for all

23 w / 5 l / 1 c -> +22.08 m.u. (hit%: 79.31)

Cronulla Sharks - South Sydney Rabbitohs, Total >40,5 @ 2.00 (bwin), stack 2 m.u.EDIT: 8-30

Both teams lost their first two matches of the new season, they will be eager to get their first victory today. The Rabbitohs are more valuable theoretically but on the field the situation may be different. A good preview can be find here.

Etoile FC v Geylang United, >1.5 @ 1.20 (gb), stack 6 m.u.EDIT: 1-1 in 37'

Brasov v CFR Cluj [Draw No Bet], CFR Cluj @ 1.49 (gb), stack 3 m.u.

Remind me not to bet on Hanescu again

21 w / 4 l / 1 c -> +22.28 m.u. (hit%: 80.77)

Home United v Sengkang Punggol FC, >2.5 @ 1.60 (gb), stack 3 m.u.

Alania Vladikavkaz v Amkar [HT or FT], 1 HT or FT @ 1.85 (gb), stack 3 m.u.EDIT: 0-0, too bad they played aprox. 65' one playes less (due to red card)

Because some people asked me to add some arguments to support my tips I will try to do this for this one (Russia Premier League):

Alania has no missings for today's match while the visitors are without 7 players: Grishin, Burmistrov, Topchu, Novakovic, Sirakov, Cherenchikov and Kalashnikov; most of them are regulars. Alania so far drew with Saturn at home 1-1 and lost away to Spartak Nalchik 1-2. Alania came from second division, beeing promoted from the third place while Amkar is a low place team (13th from 16).

Gaz Metan Mediaş - Oţelul Galaţi, < 2,5 @ 1.50 (bwin), stack 4 m.u.

It's bwin because gb is in maintenance since 18:00.

ATTENTION: I will not post tips tomorrow and a day after tomorrow, see you all on Monday!

Rivaldo, Denilson and Luiz Felipe Scolari

18 w / 3 l / 1 c -> +22.24 m.u. (hit%: 81.81)

For those who do not know, first two are players in Uzbekistan at FC Bunyodkor and the last one is traing this team. They managed to loose yesterday 0-3 at Zob Ahan. Incredible!

Hanescu V. v Falla A., Hanescu V. @ 1.40 (gb), stack 5 m.u.

BTW, I want to thank all of you who have found some time to read "Please visit one or more Adds to keep this site alive. Thank you for your effort!" message from the left part of this text and clicked some ads from this blog.
Thank you again for your past, present and hopefully future support!

Kavala v ARIS Saloniki, >1.5 @ 1.40 (gb), stack 3 m.u.

Gombak United v Young Lions, >1.5 @ 1.20 (gb), stack 6 m.u.EDIT: 2-0 hard to believe they will score more than this, but enough

Napoli v Juventus [Draw No Bet], Napoli @ 1.66 (gb), stack 4 m.u.

Sporting Gijon did the job

15 w / 2 l / 1 c -> +22.52 m.u. (hit%: 83.33)

Adelaide United v Sanfrecce Hiroshima, >1.5 @ 1.40 (gb), stack 3 m.u.EDIT: Already 1-1

Arsenal Kyiv v Vorskla Poltava, < 2.5 @ 1.55 (gb), stack 3 m.u.EDIT: 2-0

Zobahan v FC Bunyodkor, X or 2 @ 1.32 (gb), stack 5 m.u.

Tenerife v Villarreal, Both teams to score @ 1.69 (gb), stack 3 m.u.

Listen to your instinct!

12 w / 2 l / 1 c -> +17.20 m.u.

Henan Jianye v Suwon, >1.5 @ 1.40 (gb), stack 4 m.u.

West Ham v Wolverhampton, >1.5 @ 1.30 (gb), stack 5 m.u.

Gijon v Deportivo [Draw No Bet], Gijon @ 1.74 (gb), stack 3 m.u.

The first void...

10 w / 0 l / 1 c -> +19.00 m.u. (inv.64 m.u. -> 29.68% ROI)

Woodlands v Home United, >1.5 @ 1.20 (gb), stack 6 m.u.

Astra Ploiesti v FC Timisoara [To score/not to score], Astra Ploiesti to score @ 1.50 (gb), stack 4 m.u.

Dinamo Riga v HK MVD [To Win the Match], HK MVD @ 1.78 (gb), stack 3 m.u.

FC Vaslui v Rapid B., Both teams to score @ 2.00 (gb), stack 2 m.u.

100% winning so far

8 w / 0 l / 0 c -> +15.00 m.u. (inv.49 m.u. -> 30.61% ROI)

Beijing Guoan Talent FC v Home United, >1.5 @ 1.20 (gb), stack 6 m.u.

Heerenveen v NEC Nijmegen, Heerenveen @ 1.70 (gb), stack 4 m.u.

1. FC Köln v Borussia M'gladbach, 1. FC Köln DNB @ 1.57 (gb), stack 5 m.u.

Now some tips

6 w / 0 l / 0 c -> +11.28 m.u. (inv.39 m.u. -> 28.92% ROI)

Anderlecht v Hamburger SV, >1.5 @ 1.22 (gb), stack 6 m.u.

Politehnica Iaşi v FC Vaslui, Politehnica Iaşi to score @ 1.60 (gb), stack 4 m.u.

About DNB...

6 w / 0 l / 0 c -> +11.28 m.u. (inv.39 m.u. -> 28.92% ROI)

DNB stands, for those who doesn't know, Draw No Bet, meaning that if the match ended in a draw in regular time the bet on 1 or 2 is cancelled. It is the same thing as AH 0 or AH 0:0.

Some bookies do not offer this kind of bet explicitly so I will show you some maths which will help you to get DNB manually. These computational formula will also help you to see if the bookie displays a correct DNB odd in case it offers such kind of bet.

Let's suppose you want to bet 1 on a match between A and B team (soccer). Total stack involved let it be S. The odds for 1 - O1 and for x - O2. So you will split S in S1 and S2, S1 - stack to bet on 1 and S2 stack to bet on x.

Initial equations:

S1 + S2 = S
S1 * O1 - S2 = P (profit in case the match ends in 1)
S2 * O2 - S1 = S (return of initial stack in case the match ends in x)

Computations:

S1 = S - S2
S2 * O2 - (S - S2) * O1 = S ->
S2 * O2 - S * O1 + S2 * O1 = S ->
S2 * (O1 + O2) - S * O1 = S ->
S2 * (O1 + O2) = S + S * O1 ->
S2 * (O1 + O2) = S * (1 + O1) ->

S2 = S * (1 + O1) / (O1 + O2) (final formula)

S1 = S - S2 ->
S1 = S - S * (1 + O1) / (O1 + O2) ->

S1 = S * (1 - (1 + O1) / (O1 + O2)) (final formula)

Knowing both S1 and S2, you can determine the profit in case the match ends in 1:

S1 * O1 - S2 * O2 = P

More than that, knowing the profit, you can determine easily the odd for DNB O(dnb):

O(dnb) = (S + P) / S ->

O(dnb) = 1 + (P / S) (final formula depending on S and P)

In case you want to compute O(dnb) no matter S and P, the formula will be:

O(dnb) = 1 + ((S1 * O1 - S2) / S) ->
O(dnb) = 1 + (S * (1 - (1 + O1) / (O1 + O2)) - S * ((1 + O1) / (O1 + O2)))) / S) ->
O(dnb) = 1 + (1 - (1 + O1) / (O1 + O2)) - ((1 + O1) / (O1 + O2)) ->
O(dnb) = 2 - 2 * ((1 + O1) / (O1 + O2)) ->
O(dnb) = 2 * (1 - (1 + O1) / (O1 + O2)) ->
O(dnb) = 2 * ((O1 + O2 - 1 - O1) / (O1 + O2)) ->

O(dnb) = 2 * (O2 - 1) / (O1 + O2) (final formula NOT depending on S and P)

The last one is the most important final formula from all.

These formula can be of course applied if you want to bet on team B using this kind of bet (DNB). Just change the O1 accordingly with the odd for 2...

I hope this article will help you to get the right decision in your betting activities. Good luck to you all!

Safer seems better

4 w / 0 l / 0 c -> +6.80 m.u. (35.79% ROI)

Dinamo Bucureşti v Steaua Bucureşti, >1.5 @ 1.40 (gb), stack 6 m.u.

Gloria 1922 Bistriţa v Universitatea Craiova, Gloria 1922 Bistriţa DNB @ 1.52 (gb), stack 4 m.u.

Hope for a good track

2 w / 0 l / 0 c -> +3.60 m.u.

FC Braşov v Internaţional Curtea de Argeş, < 3.5 @ 1.20 (gb), stack 6 m.u.

Wigan v Aston Villa, Aston Villa DNB @ 1.50 (gb), stack 4 m.u.

Start over

0 w / 0 l / 0 c -> +/-0 m.u.

Liverpool v Portsmouth, >1.5 @ 1.20 (gb), stack 6 m.u.

Atletico Madrid v Osasuna, 1 @ 1.80 (gb), stack 3 m.u.